LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 1 Winner
Probability
69¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$431.22
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 46h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 14.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 46 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 45.8h
- 22:14SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 46h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 69¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between TLN Pirates and Esprit Shōnen in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 6 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win Game 1 against Esprit Shōnen. This market will resolve to "Esprit Shōnen" if Esprit Shōnen win Game 1 against TLN Pirates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.