LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Probability
38¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-4.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$7.5K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-12.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 38¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 22h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 8.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 22h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 22 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 15:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 22.2h
- 16:47SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 22h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 38¢.
Biggest hourly move: -19.0pp at 15:00 (to 38¢).
Show top 8 of 47 hourly moves
- 16:47 · -17.5pp → 38¢
- 15:00 · -19.0pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +11.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +11.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +13.0pp → 57¢
- 2d ago · +13.0pp → 57¢
- 3d ago · +11.5pp → 56¢
- 3d ago · +13.0pp → 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win Game 1 against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 1 against Ultra Prime. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.