SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026
Creator

Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?

Probability

1h

-0.4pp

24h

-50.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$176.5K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 23:00Apr 30, 2026, 15:30
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 50pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -0.4pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 05
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.5h

    HIGH
  • 15:30Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 15:30Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-50.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -50.0pp at 15:00 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 11 hourly moves
  • 15:00 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 14:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
  • 13:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
  • 11:00 · -34.0pp → 16¢
  • 10:00 · -34.0pp → 16¢
  • 09:00 · -23.0pp → 27¢
  • 07:00 · -20.0pp → 30¢
  • 06:00 · -19.5pp → 31¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming match between Ultra Prime and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 30 at 7:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 30 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.