Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+22.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$30.00
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.
Expiry passed and the market has not been officially resolved. Do not treat the price as the outcome.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 23pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 99.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:29SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 12:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 4h ago
Price movement
+22.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: +31.0pp at 08:00 (to 50¢).
Show top 8 of 17 hourly moves
- 16:29 · +30.5pp → 50¢
- 15:00 · +30.5pp → 50¢
- 14:00 · +31.0pp → 50¢
- 12:00 · +30.5pp → 50¢
- 10:00 · +31.0pp → 50¢
- 09:00 · +31.0pp → 50¢
- 08:00 · +31.0pp → 50¢
- 20:00 · -23.5pp → 27¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Uwinks and Rising Gaming each destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy inhibitors. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one inhibitor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?"?
As of Wed, 06 May 2026 16:29:55 GMT, YES is priced at 50% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +22.5pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 6, 2026 (2026-05-06T12:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://gol.gg/esports/home.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $0.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $30.00. Spread between best bid and best ask: 99.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.