SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 Winner

Probability

79¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$13.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 15:00Apr 28, 2026, 01:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 21h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 10.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 03
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 21h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 21 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 22:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 20.6h

    HIGH
  • 01:24Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 21h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+28.5pp over the last 24h, now 79¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between Team Vitality and Solary in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against Solary. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 1 against Team Vitality. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.