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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Probability

44¢

1h

+27.0pp

24h

+7.5pp

24h Vol

$196.8K

Liquidity

$52.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+10.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:02
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Up 8pp over 24h

    Now 44¢; +27.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 3.7× turnover

    $196.8k traded against $52.6k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 7.5pp in 24h with 3.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  4. 4

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

  5. 5

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 17:20Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.3h

    HIGH
  • 13:02Signal

    Signal · Momentum up

    Probability moved up 7.5pp in 24h with 3.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 13:02Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:58Trade

    Dearest-Urge · BUY ANYONES LEGEND $1.7K

    @ 57¢

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -23.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

1
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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