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OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Probability

28¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$32.98

Liquidity

$11.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 28¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 24h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $11.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 24h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 24 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 24.1h

    HIGH
  • 14:56Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 24h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -23.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 26 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.