First Blood in Game 1?
Probability
55¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.83
Probability (last 7 days)
-45.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 90.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 13:27SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 13:27PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.2pp
to 55¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.3pp
to 55¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.8pp
to 75¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.3pp
to 76¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.9pp
to 55¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $11.1M
- 7¢-3.0pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $2.3M
- 62¢+20.5pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $911.9K
- 22¢+4.0pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $726.0K
- 4¢+0.3pp
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Geopolitics · Vol $688.2K
- 34¢+2.0pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $671.8K
Market Description
In the upcoming Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for March 30 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (90.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).