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OtherExpires Apr 28, 2026

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Probability

36¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$1.7K

Liquidity

$5.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 36¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $5.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 73.0h

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 18.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 28 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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