SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Probability

43¢

1h

-9.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$563.44

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 43¢; -9.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 66h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 18.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 4

    Expiry in 66h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 66 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 65.5h

    HIGH
  • 21:27Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 66h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 43¢.

Biggest hourly move: +14.5pp at 06:00 (to 53¢).

Show top 8 of 27 hourly moves
  • 21:00 · +7.5pp → 45¢
  • 11:00 · +10.0pp → 48¢
  • 09:00 · +14.5pp → 53¢
  • 08:00 · +14.5pp → 53¢
  • 06:00 · +14.5pp → 53¢
  • 05:00 · +7.5pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · -10.5pp → 31¢
  • 2d ago · -11.0pp → 38¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 28 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 2 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 2 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.