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OtherExpires Apr 29, 2026

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Probability

25¢

1h

-3.0pp

24h

-11.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$445.12

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 12pp over 24h

    Now 25¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 96h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 33.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 95.9h

    LOW
  • 15:04Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 96h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -24.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -16.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -18.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -18.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 29 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against Team WE. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (33.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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