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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-16.4pp

24h Vol

$175.9K

Liquidity

$243.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-25.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 16pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 15:15Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.4h

    HIGH
  • 12:53Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -18.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -18.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 25 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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