MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?
Probability
62¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+11.0pp
24h Vol
$436.37
Liquidity
$13.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+28.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 62¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 65¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 60¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 61¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 60¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 60¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 62¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 62¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 57¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 58¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 57¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 56¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 55¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 54¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 54¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 51¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 63¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).