Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

1. 1

   Heavy volume on this book — 2.9× turnover

   $20.1k traded against $7.0k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $7.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   Expiry in 3h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for April 25 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.