OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Probability

40¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$1.8K

Liquidity

$157.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:58
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 40¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:15Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.3h

    HIGH
  • 18:58Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for April 25 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
MLB.comOfficial sports result
mlb.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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