Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$12.0K
Liquidity
$652.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $12.0k traded against $652.1k of visible liquidity (0.02× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 184.4h
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: +4.0pp at 1d ago (to 54¢).
Show 4 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 54¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 53¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 54¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 53¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and San Diego Padres, scheduled for April 27 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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