SportsExpires May 6, 2026

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres

Probability

53¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$12.9K

Liquidity

$169.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 14:00Apr 28, 2026, 13:41
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 53¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $12.9k traded against $169.0k of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 180.0h

    LOW

Price movement

+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 53¢.

Biggest hourly move: -4.5pp at 1d ago (to 51¢).

Show 3 hourly moves
  • 17:00 · -3.5pp → 47¢
  • 16:00 · -4.5pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · -4.5pp → 51¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and San Diego Padres, scheduled for April 28 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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