SportsExpires May 2, 2026
Creator

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

Probability

54¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$321.95

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
MLB.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 2, 2026, 01:00May 2, 2026, 02:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 17h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 17 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:05Resolve

    Market resolves in 17.4h

    HIGH
  • 02:38Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 17h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 54¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 2 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.