Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)
Probability
77¢
1h
+53.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$879.43
Liquidity
$1.4K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 16.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 05:56SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 01:40ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 4h ago
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 77¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
7- 100¢+48.4
Golden Knights vs. Utah
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 3¢+1.3
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $617.8K
- 0¢-0.4
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $520.4K
- 1¢0.0
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $484.5K
- 100¢+51.4
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics
Sports · Vol $472.8K
- 51¢-2.0
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Sports · Vol $454.5K
Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Athletics, scheduled for May 1 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.