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OtherExpires May 3, 2026

Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Probability

43¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

+3.0pp

24h Vol

$2.0K

Liquidity

$32.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:29
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 43¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 3.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 196.1h

    LOW
  • 13:29Signal

    Signal · Momentum up

    Probability moved up 3.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for April 26 at 1:37PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.mlb.com/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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