SportsExpires May 9, 2026
Creator

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners

Probability

44¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+3.5pp

24h Vol

$35.9K

Liquidity

$429.7K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 9, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
mlb.com
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 14:00May 1, 2026, 18:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 44¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $35.9k traded against $429.7k of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 175.6h

    LOW

Price movement

+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.

Biggest hourly move: -10.0pp at 1d ago (to 40¢).

Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
  • 03:00 · -8.5pp → 42¢
  • 01:00 · -8.5pp → 42¢
  • 00:00 · -8.5pp → 42¢
  • 19:00 · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 1d ago · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 1d ago · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 1d ago · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 1d ago · -10.0pp → 40¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

7
Same eventKansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for May 1 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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