Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
Probability
44¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$16.1K
Liquidity
$121.9K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $16.1k traded against $121.9k of visible liquidity (0.13× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 02Active signal
Divergence signal firing
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -0.5pp.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the 1h vs 24h trend on the chart above — divergence resolves either by 1h reverting to the 24h direction or by the 24h trend flipping.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 179.8h
- 13:52SignalMEDIUM
Short-term vs. trend divergence
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -0.5pp.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.5pp at 1d ago (to 43¢).
Show top 8 of 24 hourly moves
- 12:00 · -6.0pp → 43¢
- 11:00 · -6.0pp → 43¢
- 09:00 · -6.0pp → 43¢
- 07:00 · -6.0pp → 43¢
- 06:00 · -6.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for May 2 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.