Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Probability
33¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.0pp
24h Vol
$27.94
Liquidity
$26.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 33¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 38¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 223.5h
Price movement
-5.0pp over the last 24h, now 33¢.
Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 15:00 (to 41¢).
Show all 24 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -11.5pp → 34¢
- 15:00 · -13.5pp → 41¢
- 14:00 · -12.0pp → 42¢
- 12:00 · -9.0pp → 42¢
- 11:00 · -9.0pp → 42¢
- 09:00 · -9.0pp → 42¢
- 08:00 · -8.5pp → 42¢
- 06:00 · -8.0pp → 42¢
- 05:00 · -8.0pp → 42¢
- 03:00 · -8.0pp → 42¢
- 02:00 · -11.5pp → 39¢
- 00:00 · -12.0pp → 38¢
- 23:00 · -12.0pp → 38¢
- 21:00 · -11.5pp → 39¢
- 20:00 · -11.5pp → 39¢
- 1d ago · -12.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -12.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -13.5pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for April 27 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusmlb.com
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.