Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

• 01
  Price move

  Up 25pp over 24h

  Now 53¢; +6.0pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Volume pressure

  Light volume — move on a thin book

  Only $7.1k traded against $39.4k of visible liquidity (0.18× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

• 03
  Active signal

  Momentum observation firing

  Probability moved up 24.5pp in 24h with 0.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

• 04
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk observation firing

  Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for May 6 at 3:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.