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OtherExpires May 2, 2026

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros

Probability

57¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

+3.5pp

24h Vol

$58.3K

Liquidity

$328.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 57¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $58.3k traded against $328.2k of visible liquidity (0.18× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  3. 3

    Divergence signal firing

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -1.0pp vs. 24h +3.5pp.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 178.3h

    LOW
  • 12:53Signal

    Signal · Short-term vs. trend divergence

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -1.0pp vs. 24h +3.5pp.

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

1
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Houston Astros, scheduled for April 25 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.mlb.com/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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