New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
Probability
57¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$58.3K
Liquidity
$328.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 57¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $58.3k traded against $328.2k of visible liquidity (0.18× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 3
Divergence signal firing
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -1.0pp vs. 24h +3.5pp.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 178.3h
- 12:53SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Short-term vs. trend divergence
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -1.0pp vs. 24h +3.5pp.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 59¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 57¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 56¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 59¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 59¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 57¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 57¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 57¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 56¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 56¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 56¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 56¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 56¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 56¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Houston Astros, scheduled for April 25 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.mlb.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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