SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Probability

54¢

1h

+18.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$31.5K

Liquidity

$3.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 19:00Apr 29, 2026, 02:49
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 9.4× turnover

    $31.5k traded against $3.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 9.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:49Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 00:05Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 54¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Texas Rangers, scheduled for April 28 at 8:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas Rangers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Texas Rangers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
MLB.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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