OtherExpires May 2, 2026

Athletics vs. Texas Rangers

Probability

47¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$541.1K

Liquidity

$350.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:30
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 47¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.5× turnover

    $541.1k traded against $350.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Divergence signal firing

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -1.0pp vs. 24h +2.5pp.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the 1h vs 24h trend on the chart above — divergence resolves either by 1h reverting to the 24h direction or by the 24h trend flipping.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 170.6h

    LOW
  • 20:31Signal

    Short-term vs. trend divergence

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -1.0pp vs. 24h +2.5pp.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+2.5pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.

Biggest hourly move: -7.5pp at 3d ago (to 43¢).

Show all 13 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:00 · +3.5pp → 47¢
  • 19:00 · +4.5pp → 48¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 45¢
  • 1d ago · +4.5pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 45¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 44¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 43¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 43¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 43¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 43¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 43¢
  • 3d ago · +4.0pp → 43¢
  • 3d ago · -7.5pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Texas Rangers, scheduled for April 25 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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