Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Probability
48¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-16.0pp
24h Vol
$86.40
Liquidity
$13.2K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 16pp over 24h
Now 48¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $13.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 53¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 215.4h
Price movement
-16.0pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.
Biggest hourly move: -22.5pp at 03:00 (to 45¢).
Show top 8 of 30 hourly moves
- 17:00 · -19.5pp → 48¢
- 14:00 · -21.0pp → 47¢
- 13:00 · -21.0pp → 47¢
- 11:00 · -21.0pp → 47¢
- 10:00 · -20.5pp → 47¢
- 06:00 · -20.5pp → 47¢
- 05:00 · -20.5pp → 47¢
- 03:00 · -22.5pp → 45¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 2 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.