Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Probability
100¢
1h
+36.4pp
24h
+48.4pp
24h Vol
$289.7K
Liquidity
$727.7K
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 48pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +36.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 48.4pp in 24h with 0.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 165.2h
- 01:27SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 48.4pp in 24h with 0.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 01:27SignalLOW
Resolution risk
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
Price movement
+48.4pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +16.5pp at 00:00 (to 65¢).
Show top 8 of 55 hourly moves
- 00:00 · +16.5pp → 65¢
- 2d ago · -15.5pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
- 3d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
- 3d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
- 3d ago · -15.5pp → 49¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 4 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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