SportsExpires May 12, 2026
Creator

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

Probability

56¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$183.0K

Liquidity

$148.3K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 12, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
mlb.com
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 19:00May 4, 2026, 20:28
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 56¢; flat in the last hour.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 173.3h

    LOW

Price movement

+2.5pp over the last 24h, now 56¢.

Biggest hourly move: +20.0pp at 22:00 (to 61¢).

Show top 8 of 37 hourly moves
  • 17:00 · +15.5pp → 56¢
  • 07:00 · +17.5pp → 59¢
  • 06:00 · +17.5pp → 59¢
  • 05:00 · +17.5pp → 59¢
  • 03:00 · +16.5pp → 57¢
  • 02:00 · +16.5pp → 57¢
  • 00:00 · +16.5pp → 57¢
  • 22:00 · +20.0pp → 61¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

7
Same eventSan Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for May 4 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket