Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Probability
42¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-14.5pp
24h Vol
$9.1K
Liquidity
$36.5K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 42¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 14.5pp in 24h with 0.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 47¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 197.8h
- 16:53SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 14.5pp in 24h with 0.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
Price movement
-14.5pp over the last 24h, now 42¢.
Biggest hourly move: -17.0pp at 10:00 (to 39¢).
Show top 8 of 15 hourly moves
- 16:53 · -13.5pp → 42¢
- 15:00 · -15.0pp → 41¢
- 14:00 · -15.5pp → 40¢
- 13:00 · -14.0pp → 42¢
- 11:00 · -16.5pp → 39¢
- 10:00 · -17.0pp → 39¢
- 09:00 · -14.5pp → 41¢
- 07:00 · -12.0pp → 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for May 4 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.