Loading shell…
OtherExpires May 2, 2026

Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox

Probability

44¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-2.5pp

24h Vol

$14.4K

Liquidity

$341.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 44¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $14.4k traded against $341.8k of visible liquidity (0.04× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 172.9h

    LOW
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for April 25 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.mlb.com/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).