Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron MY by VIT vs AC Esports - Game 2 Winner
Probability
98¢
1h
-1.4pp
24h
+41.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$283.31
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
YES price is near 100¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Treat as effectively priced-in, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 15, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 15, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 42pp over 24h
Now 98¢; -1.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Expires in 2h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $283 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 15, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 15, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:15Scheduled resolutionHIGH
Market resolves in 1.7h
- 14:31SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h.
Price movement
+41.5pp over the last 24h, now 98¢.
Biggest hourly move: +48.1pp at 14:31 (to 98¢).
Show 2 hourly moves
- 14:31 · +48.1pp → 98¢
- 12:00 · +3.0pp → 53¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Bigetron MY by VIT and AC Esports in the MPL Malaysia Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 15 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bigetron MY by VIT" if Bigetron MY by VIT win Game 2 against AC Esports. This market will resolve to "AC Esports" if AC Esports win Game 2 against Bigetron MY by VIT. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Why this category?
confidence: mediumCategory
Source
Matched term
esportsReason
Question text contains "esports" — matched the Sports keyword rule.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron MY by VIT vs AC Esports - Game 2 Winner"?
As of Fri, 15 May 2026 14:31:31 GMT, YES is priced at 98% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +41.5pp in the last 24 hours, -1.4pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 15, 2026 (2026-05-15T16:15:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $0.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $283.31. Spread between best bid and best ask: 3.7¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.