Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.0pp
24h Vol
$20.41
Liquidity
$1.2K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 43¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 48¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 74.4h
Price movement
-5.0pp over the last 24h, now 43¢.
Biggest hourly move: -10.0pp at 16:48 (to 43¢).
Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
- 16:48 · -10.0pp → 43¢
- 15:00 · -9.0pp → 43¢
- 14:00 · -8.5pp → 43¢
- 13:00 · -8.5pp → 43¢
- 11:00 · -8.0pp → 43¢
- 10:00 · -8.0pp → 43¢
- 09:00 · -8.5pp → 43¢
- 07:00 · -6.5pp → 45¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Geek Fam ID and EVOS in the MPL Indonesia Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Geek Fam ID" if Geek Fam ID win the match against EVOS. This market will resolve to "EVOS" if EVOS win the match against Geek Fam ID. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
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