Hawks vs. Knicks
Probability
35¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-4.0pp
24h Vol
$70.80
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 35¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 61h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 61h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 61 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 61.2h
- 14:46SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 61h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 35¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 35¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 35¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 35¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 35¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 35¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 35¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 37¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 37¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 37¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 37¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 37¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 37¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 37¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 12:00AM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.nba.com/
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).