SportsExpires May 2, 2026
Creator

Hawks vs. Knicks

Probability

23¢

1h

-19.0pp

24h

-15.5pp

24h Vol

$89.3K

Liquidity

$35.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 05:00Apr 30, 2026, 23:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 16pp over 24h

    Now 23¢; -19.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.5× turnover

    $89.3k traded against $35.3k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 15.5pp in 24h with 2.5× liquidity turnover.

  • 04
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 28h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 05
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 20.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 28 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 28.3h

    HIGH
  • 23:43Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 15.5pp in 24h with 2.5× liquidity turnover.

    HIGH
  • 23:43Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 28h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-15.5pp over the last 24h, now 23¢.

Biggest hourly move: -15.5pp at 2d ago (to 36¢).

Show top 8 of 26 hourly moves
  • 15:00 · +8.0pp → 44¢
  • 14:00 · +9.5pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +8.5pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · +7.5pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · -15.5pp → 31¢
  • 2d ago · -15.5pp → 36¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 37¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 2 at 12:00AM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.