Hawks vs. Knicks
Probability
23¢
1h
-19.0pp
24h
-15.5pp
24h Vol
$89.3K
Liquidity
$35.3K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Down 16pp over 24h
Now 23¢; -19.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 2.5× turnover
$89.3k traded against $35.3k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 15.5pp in 24h with 2.5× liquidity turnover.
- 04Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 28h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 05Spread cost
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 28 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 28.3h
- 23:43SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 15.5pp in 24h with 2.5× liquidity turnover.
- 23:43SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 28h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-15.5pp over the last 24h, now 23¢.
Biggest hourly move: -15.5pp at 2d ago (to 36¢).
Show top 8 of 26 hourly moves
- 15:00 · +8.0pp → 44¢
- 14:00 · +9.5pp → 46¢
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +7.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +12.0pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · -15.5pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · -15.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -14.5pp → 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 2 at 12:00AM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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