SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Probability

95¢

1h

+9.5pp

24h

+40.5pp

24h Vol

$394.9K

Liquidity

$33.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 20:00Apr 27, 2026, 01:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 1

    Up 41pp over 24h

    Now 95¢; +9.5pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 11.9× turnover

    $394.9k traded against $33.2k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 3

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 40.5pp in 24h with 11.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 4

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 5

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 01:07Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 40.5pp in 24h with 11.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 01:07Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 23:00Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+43.5pp over the last 24h, now 97¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 26 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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