Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+20.0pp
24h Vol
$26.38
Liquidity
$2.6K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 20pp over 24h
Now 43¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $2.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 14 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 13.6h
- 09:22SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14h.
Price movement
+20.0pp over the last 24h, now 43¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 5 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donovan Mitchell records more than 4.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Donovan Mitchell records 4.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.