Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
Probability
7¢
1h
-60.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$452.9K
Liquidity
$6.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Heavy volume on this book — 73.5× turnover
$452.9k traded against $6.2k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:52SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 17:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
Price movement
-30.5pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 26 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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