Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
Probability
47¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$26.0K
Liquidity
$133.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 47¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $26.0k traded against $133.3k of visible liquidity (0.19× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 6h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 5.8h
- 18:41SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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