SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)

Probability

47¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$26.0K

Liquidity

$133.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 03:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:41
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 47¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $26.0k traded against $133.3k of visible liquidity (0.19× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 6h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 5.8h

    HIGH
  • 18:41Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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