SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5

Probability

48¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$25.5K

Liquidity

$14.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:32
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 48¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.8× turnover

    $25.5k traded against $14.0k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Thin liquidity

    Only $14.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  5. 5

    Expiry in 7h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 7 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 7.0h

    HIGH
  • 17:32Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Nuggets and Timberwolves combine to score 231 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 231, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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