SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Probability

54¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

-14.5pp

24h Vol

$17.32

Liquidity

$23.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 14pp over 24h

    Now 54¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 105h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 105.4h

    LOW
  • 18:35Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 105h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-15.5pp over the last 24h, now 54¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 30 at 12:00AM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
based on the final score including any overtime periodsAmbiguous wording
nba.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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