Pistons vs. Magic
Probability
56¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$101.8K
Liquidity
$1.3M
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $101.8k traded against $1.3M of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 17:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.1h
- 12:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 56¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 56¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
2- BUYMAGIC2m ago
- BUYPISTONS2m ago
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 1:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.nba.com/
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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