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AIExpires Apr 25, 2026

Pistons vs. Magic

Probability

56¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$101.8K

Liquidity

$1.3M

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $101.8k traded against $1.3M of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 17:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.1h

    HIGH
  • 12:55Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

2
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 1:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.nba.com/
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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