Franz Wagner: Points O/U 18.5
Probability
47¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+16.5pp
24h Vol
$11.82
Liquidity
$1.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 17pp over 24h
Now 47¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 6h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 6.5h
- 17:32SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+16.0pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Franz Wagner scores more than 18.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Franz Wagner scores 18.5 points or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.