SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Probability

53¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$11.7K

Liquidity

$803.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 21:00Apr 27, 2026, 07:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 53¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $11.7k traded against $803.4k of visible liquidity (0.01× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 4

    Expiry in 16h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 16 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 16.1h

    HIGH
  • 07:54Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 53¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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