1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
Probability
49¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$3.4K
Liquidity
$7.2K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 03Resolution proximity
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 02:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.5h
- 00:28SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 41¢+2.0pp
Rockets vs. Lakers
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 55¢-1.5pp
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
Sports · Vol $27.1K
- 51¢-1.0pp
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5
Sports · Vol $11.8K
- 54¢+2.0pp
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
Sports · Vol $179.99
- 54¢-10.5pp
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5
Sports · Vol $474.33
- 41¢+8.5pp
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline
Sports · Vol $198.18
- 47¢+4.5pp
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5
Sports · Vol $432.67
- 48¢-2.0pp
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 22.5
Sports · Vol $24.33
Market Description
In the first half of the NBA game between Rockets and Lakers, scheduled for April 29 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers are winning by 3 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Rockets". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.