Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
Probability
46¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$8.4K
Liquidity
$18.0K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 46¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 21h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $18.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 21 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 04:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 20.8h
- 07:14SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 21h.
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 46¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 5 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.