SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5

Probability

50¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+10.0pp

24h Vol

$1.4K

Liquidity

$5.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 06:00Apr 27, 2026, 23:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 10pp over 24h

    Now 50¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $5.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.6h

    HIGH
  • 23:56Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+11.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikola Jokić records more than 9.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Nikola Jokić records 9.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
NBA.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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