SportsExpires May 4, 2026
Creator

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline

Probability

20¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$617.91

Liquidity

$6.4K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the score at halftime only
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 1, 2026, 11:00May 4, 2026, 14:31
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 20¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $6.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 14:31Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Resolve

    Market resolved 11h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+2.5pp over the last 24h, now 20¢.

Biggest hourly move: -31.5pp at 00:00 (to 19¢).

Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
  • 14:00 · -30.0pp → 20¢
  • 13:00 · -30.5pp → 20¢
  • 12:00 · -30.5pp → 21¢
  • 06:00 · -30.0pp → 20¢
  • 05:00 · -30.0pp → 20¢
  • 03:00 · -30.0pp → 20¢
  • 02:00 · -30.5pp → 20¢
  • 00:00 · -31.5pp → 19¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the first half of the NBA game between Timberwolves and Spurs, scheduled for May 4 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves are winning at halftime. This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs are winning at halftime. If the score is tied at halftime, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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