1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
Probability
51¢
1h
+6.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 51¢; +6.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 19h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 16.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 19 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 04:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 19.2h
- 08:50SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 19h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the first half of the NBA game between Timberwolves and Spurs, scheduled for May 4 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs are winning by 8 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.